Archive for the ‘Extrusion Industry’ Category

Chinese vs. American Extrusions

Tuesday, April 13th, 2010

chinese aluminum extrusionsIf you look at purchasing from a purely economic standpoint, and know anything about “gains of trade”, you’d think if the Chinese can produce aluminum extrusions cheaper than North Americans, than they will win the market.  Red flags and worrysome feelings of American slipping away aside, in a “free market” that’s what you’re supposed to do.

But when it comes to Aluminum Extrusions the Chinese will never be competitive.  Why?  Two reasons:  Eight weeks & Low labor to material costs.

Eight Weeks: That’s how long it takes to ship something from China.  Not to mention, if you’re ordering in enough quantities large enough for you to start looking at outsourcing you’re talking about tonnage, which will result in significant freight costs.   So, if you’re ordering Chinese extrusions, be prepared to weight four months to get your parts and good luck with any re-work.

Low Labor to Material Costs: What this means is that your labor to material costs of your total order and related COGS is low.  The Chinese offer competitive labor prices ($1-2/hr) which has grabbed the world’s attention and many labor intensive manufacturing segments have flourished in China (furniture, injection molding, etc).  But with aluminum extrusions labor goes into the die, post-processing and handling.  That’s it.  It’s not enough of a gain to offset the shipping costs.  Unless…

How they Cheat the Market

If you want to gain a foothold in the ALX market and don’t have any competitive advantage what do you do?  You get the Chinese government to subsidize the cost of aluminum!  Boom, instant competitive advantage.   Accept the largest cost of aluminum is electricity which costs the same just about everywhere (14% of the power produced in the US goes to aluminum production).  So the Chinese, post subsidy have no real competitive advantage.  Right now what they have is someone’s brother-in-law in the government doing a favor for an extruder of aluminum pipes.   North American operations are up in arms.  Which they should be (see previous post about Chinese anti-competitive behavior).  If the brother-in-law had taken economics and knew anything about aluminum production and aluminum extrusion, he might think twice about trying to manipulate the market.   哎呀!

Energy Surcharges

Friday, April 2nd, 2010

This is a quick post about energy surcharges.  For those new to extrusions, large manufacturers typically hedge inflation by adding additional line items to your invoice to accommodate rising fuel costs.   A recent glance at Bonalum shows just that.  As fuel prices went from 2.7845 $/gl in February to 2.9148 $/gl in March, Bonalum added a 0.024 $/lb surcharge.  Now, if fuel prices drop, don’t expect a refund line item, but they protect their downside with this rider.  Note that many companies that offer extensive secondary operations post aluminum extrusion won’t do this unless times are very unpredictable.  But when you’re extruding raw tonnage, expect these sorts of additional terms.

China Accused of Subsidizing Aluminum Extrusions

Thursday, April 1st, 2010

China is under investigation by the US International Trade Commission for dumping extruded aluminum drill pipes.  Dumping is simply selling at less than fair market value in order to gain market share and is illegal under international trade laws.  This is not the first time China has been accused of violating international trade laws, but to my knowledge is the first time it has been accused of doing so in aluminum extrusion.  While it may be most visible in “drill pipes” it probably isn’t restricted to that sole segment of the market.  Here is a link to the investigation pdf: aluminum extrusion anti-dumping pdf.

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Another One Bought the Dust

Wednesday, March 31st, 2010

This is last year’s news, but found it interesting.  Indalux, which was highly leveraged when the tsunami hit bit the dust.  In reading the following blog post Indalux RIP.

Indalux’s customer base consisted largely of transportation,  residential and commercial construction, which were some of the first to get when the credit wave hit.  Those markets are still getting pounded in fact.  I know several commercial real estate executives in the DC area and at the time of this post, the only guys who are hiring are the ones dealing with foreclosure and debt restructuring.  Nobody can pay their balloons.  But I digress.

If you look at the outstanding debt in the aforementioned blog, you’ll see that the guys who got hammered were all on the materials supply side. I quickly looked at Alcoa’s financial’s (ticker AA) and it looks like the worst may be be behind them in terms of their stock price, but they still have negative earnings per share, which could be a result of all that bad debt.

More on Circle Size

Thursday, March 11th, 2010

Circle size is the maximum cross section of any given part.  It also defines each aluminum extruder in terms of what industries they serve – ranging from electronic components (small diameters) to industrial components (large diameters).  The graph bellow shows the frequency in which most of the North American extruders fall.  This demonstrates that 90extruders-and-circle-size% of market consists of extrusions between six and 18 inches in diameter.

Why does this matter?  When designing your parts you need to take into consideration the design limitations of the market otherwise you’re going to end up redesigning your parts or spending a lot of time sourcing.  Qualified Vendor can help out here however, as we’ll make a summary of your job visible to most of the extruders significantly reducing the time typically associated with supplier discovery.